Fisher Capital Management: Government Bond Markets Global Outlook Part2

Fisher Capital Management: Government Bond Markets Global Outlook Part 2 - Our position remains unchanged; any existing exposure to bonds should be further reduced in favor of US & Euro equities.

The European Central Bank appears to share this view, although it has warned that the recovery “is likely to remain uneven”, and has kept short-term rates at very low levels. The bond markets have therefore continued to receive considerable support from the economic background and the actions of the central bank.

Fisher Capital Management Seoul, South Korea: However, these factors have been much less important than the fears about the debt problems in Greece and in other weaker members of the euro-zone. After considerable

prevarication, due primarily to strong German opposition to a bail-out; an agreement

has been reached amongst the member countries that, in conjunction with the IMF,

they will provide support for Greece if this becomes necessary to prevent a default

on its sovereign debts.

But the details of the agreement are very vague, and there is certainly no guarantee

that the country can carry out its promises to introduce significant reductions in

spending levels to reduce the size of its debts. The agreement has helped the country

to issue a further ¤5 billion bond; but it was forced to offer an interest rate of 5.9%

on a seven-year bond, 325 basis points above the equivalent German bund, and

that issue has subsequently moved to a substantial discount. Conditions have also

been made worse by the downgrade in Portugal’s credit rating, and so the pressures

on the bond markets are continuing.

Fisher Capital Management Seoul, South Korea: The gilt edged market has coped fairly well so far with the latest weakness in the

bond market, an inadequate response in the latest Budget to the debt problems in

the UK, and a warning from the Fitch rating agency that the government’s timetable

for reducing the fiscal deficit was “frankly too slow”, and that the country’s

credit rating was at risk. The economic recovery remains very slow, and the Bank

of England is holding short-term interest rates close to zero, so the market is

receiving some support; but in all the circumstances it is perhaps surprising that

it has managed to perform so well.

Fisher Capital Management Seoul, South Korea: The economic background in the UK remains depressed, but is slowly improving.

Retail sales bounced back strongly; the public sector continued its recruitment

programmed; and there has been a pickup in activity in both the manufacturing and

service sectors of the economy.

It was not surprising therefore that the Bank of England kept short-term interest

rates unchanged at the latest meeting of its Monetary Policy Committee and even

suggested that it would be prepared to reactivate its quantitative easing programmed

if this proved to be necessary. But this may not be enough to sustain gilt edged

prices at current levels.

Fisher Capital Management Seoul, South Korea: The latest Budget statement is forecasting a slightly lower fiscal deficit of £167 billion in the 2009/10 fiscal year, and a halving of the deficit by 2013/14; but there

is considerable skepticism in the markets about the growth assumptions underlying

the figures, and about the willingness of the politicians to address the real problems

involved in reducing the deficit. If there is no credible plan to achieve this reduction,

the country may well lose its AAA credit rating. Prospects have therefore become

even more uncertain, and a move to higher yield levels seems unavoidable.

Fisher Capital Management Seoul, South Korea: The Japanese bond market is slightly weaker over the past month. It is likely that this year, for the first time, bond issuance may provide greater support for the fiscal

deficit than tax revenues. This has already led to a downgrade on Japanese public

debt by Standard and Poor’s, and with new bond issuance this year estimated to

reach ¥44,300 billion, and to reach ¥55,300 billion by 2013, further downgrades

seem likely. Japanese institutional investors are used to financing massive deficits,

but it seems unlikely that deficits of this size can be adequately financed at present

yield levels. Prospects for the Japanese market therefore remain unattractive.

China - world's first internal combustion engine manufacturing power – Fisher Capital Equipment Update

Fisher Capital Equipment Management Update- China has become the world's first internal combustion engine manufacturing power - engine oil - construction machinery industry. Avoid online internet scams, get latest updates on Fisher Capital Equipment Management website.

At Tianjin University in a few days ago " Energy Power "Academic Forum, Tianjin University, State Key Laboratory of Combustion Yao Ming-fa fellow director, said China's current annual production has more than 60 million internal combustion units, is the world's first internal combustion engine manufacturing country. With internal combustion engine as the power source of the power system in the next 30-50 years is still the main driving force for most, it will be the internal combustion engine energy saving energy saving in China the main battlefield of the future.

  "Energy and Power," Academic Forum, Tianjin University to celebrate the State Key Laboratory of Combustion opened in 20 years held. Forums, including the Chinese Academy of Sciences Gob, the Chinese Academy of Engineering, Hui Guo, Tianjin University, State Key Laboratory of Combustion chief scientist Wan-Hua Su, China FAW Car Research chief engineer Li Kang and other experts, including prior agreement will concern the focus of great concern in the current domestic and international economic and energy savings on carbon.

  China - world's first internal combustion engine manufacturing power  – Fisher Capital Equipment Update. Avoid online internet scams, get latest updates on Fisher Capital Equipment Management website. Researcher, according to Yao Ming-fa, the internal combustion engine Oil Oil consumption is about 66% of total consumption, China's dependence on oil imports more than 50%. Engine emissions and noise are also major sources of air and the environment, the city more than 50% of the harmful gases from motor vehicle emissions from combustion engines. "But the burning Engine Still the main power source in the future, fuel efficient and clean burning combustion technology is still theoretical and academic frontier. Conventional internal combustion engine is still 50% of the energy potential of renewable fuels, new synthetic fuel efficient and clean combustion is an important aspect of new energy to pursue low-carbon power has become an important international political issues, combustion engine fuel diversification, energy diversification is a trend. "

  Laboratory Academic Committee, Chinese Academy of Sciences said Xu Jianzhong, although in recent decades, fossil energy is still the main source of energy, but from now on to create carbon-free, low-carbon energy system, the occupation of energy technology and industrial high ground, China's industrial development.

  1989 Tianjin University, completed an open State Key Laboratory of Engine Combustion engine of China's only State Key Laboratory of the field. Combination of the laboratory "energy", "environment" and "power" major national needs and international academic front, the main research interests include internal combustion engine combustion process and optimum control of the internal combustion engine generates harmful emissions, and atmospheric environmental impact post-processing technology research, alternative fuels and new engine Power Plant Study, dynamic mechanical structural strength, vibration, noise and lubrication technology research.

  Experts at the forum agreed that the green energy and low-carbon economy is becoming the leading technology and industrial revolution in the next major direction of our country is facing domestic pressure to reduce carbon emissions, carbon emissions will be the internal combustion engine technology to drive future the development of one of the main sources of power. The face of this international situation, Yao Ming-fa introducing the laboratory researcher, said the future direction of development, energy-efficient internal combustion engine and reduce harmful emissions and reducing carbon emissions are the characteristics of the laboratory, while the aircraft engines, space propulsion in the field expansion side laboratory has also made encouraging progress. "We will continue to innovate and operational mechanisms to accelerate the pace of development, take on the achievement of national goals of scientific research and high-level personnel training duty. Efforts to build a world-class laboratory research center of the engine, to meet China in the 'energy,' 'Environment' and 'advanced power' to make a significant contribution to the demand. "

Fisher Capital Updates Avoid Scams- New Swiss Style Agency Nexturn

Most recently by the financial turmoil sweeping the globe, has been leading the international trend of the European heavy truck heavy truck giant constantly laying off employees and cut-off of the news. Avoid scams. Keep posted and don’t be a victim. 

  2008 12 16, Sweden Volvo Truck Group headquarters in Gothenburg, announced first quarter 2009 will be discontinued 20 to 25 days to avoid a drop in demand caused by product mix. Earlier, the German truck maker Man (MAN) company announced major layoffs for temporary workers and cut production. Mercedes-Benz trucks were announced job cuts in Canada and the United States, 2300.

  Chinese auto companies have gradually felt the tremendous power of this financial crisis. In the heavy truck market, the independent brand of electric control and high-pressure EGR Track Product spreads win one or two million in full swing, not to mention the high price of imported heavy card. The face of tough international market, the European heavy truck giant can turn "crisis" into "opportunities" in China for more effective business support?

  Previous years, this time, each company will announce a new year of market objectives and development plans. But this year, most businesses still wait until. Interest rates, exchange rates frequently adjusted bailout plan were introduced, the situation changes so rapidly, so that hundreds of battles in the European heavy truck giant become more cautious than ever.

  Benz trucks in China public relations manager, told reporters that Wang Hui, Mercedes-Benz on the Chinese market and customers long-term commitment is consistent. Slowdown in the current market circumstances, the Mercedes-Benz will continue to provide Chinese customers with high quality products and services. Meanwhile, Mercedes-Benz that the Chinese government to stimulate domestic demand, increasing investment in initiatives such as the opportunities for the commercial vehicle market, promising Chinese market, long-term, sustainable development.

  Insiders commented that, compared with the domestic heavy truck, imported products have a distinct performance advantage. However, due to the special needs of our commercial vehicles, heavy trucks have been no imports of high-end open market, even as imports of passenger cars did not bring in huge profits for multinational corporations. At present, this situation has not changed.

  Hard for many years in China, another giant of heavy trucks in Europe?? Volvo to the Chinese market showed cautious optimism. President of Volvo Trucks in China, said Lu Bo days, despite the international financial crisis, but the driving force for China's economic development still exist, with the timely measures taken by the relevant market better than in Europe and the United States. He said that both in good times or bad, both for China Volvo Cooperation Partner support, and will not lay off in China.

  As the industry leader in commercial vehicles in Europe, Mercedes-Benz and Volvo is also China's imports of high-end heavy truck market leader, in recent years has annual sales of more than in 1000. Rely on much weaker than the company's own brand dealer network, can achieve such results is not easy, to keep victories is their primary goal. Man speaking for the company, but the adverse economic situation it saw an opportunity. Man Fischer, vice president of China, told reporters that the financial turmoil, China is likely in 2009 a temporary economic downturn. However, the Man for 2010 are optimistic about China's economic situation. On the one hand, the 4 trillion yuan in central government investment projects, traffic, transportation, logistics industry is the key; the other hand, the Chinese yuan to upgrade the user's purchasing power. By expanding dealer network to provide users of financial services and other measures, Mann hopes the Chinese market in 2009 heavy truck sales of more than 500 in 2010, and strive to reach 1,000 units in China imports high-end heavy truck market share from the current 8% to 20%.

  China called the world's largest truck market, regardless of existing capacity or growth potential is very attractive. At present, the global economy are shrouded in shadow of financial turmoil, the Chinese market for multinational auto giants significantly increased the importance of the European heavy truck giant too. Although China's own brand of technical level of heavy truck brand products in Europe there is still a gap, but their progress over the years is obvious to all. The industry believes that both the Chinese heavy truck market prospects are also notable features. This feature is changing for the right to speak, the Chinese heavy truck industry has gradually become rules of the game makers. Only able to adapt to the rules of Chinese enterprises to share the fruits of victory.

  Related Reading: 2009 debut all the new heavy truck market in China smoke resurgence

  In the global financial crisis, China's heavy truck industry is facing the most strong market impact in history, many users are forced to report truck stop, a sharp decline in market demand, but as the beginning of large-scale infrastructure and fuel tax implementation, some experts predict that 2009 will be the second half of the Chinese heavy truck market is expected to rebound. Then, the face of the current severe situation, how companies can survive the winter; future market rebound when the business first opened, how can the situation? In the face of this issue, China's heavy truck manufacturers have thought they were talking to the product. Recently, the China Heavy Duty Truck, Shaanxi Auto, Fukuda, SAIC Iveco Hongyan, Valin successively announced their new 09 models, can be predicted that in 2009 China's heavy truck market, a war broke out did not smoke.

Groundbreaking on Ivanpah Solar – Fisher Capital Equipment Update

Fisher Capital Equipment Management Update- Bechtel joined BrightSource Energy today in a ceremony to mark the start of construction of the Ivanpah Solar Electric Generating System, a groundbreaking project that will usher in a new era of advanced solar power in the United States.The ceremony was held in California's Mojave Desert next to the Ivanpah site. Avoid online internet scams, get latest updates on Fisher Capital Equipment Management website.

Ian Copeland, president of Bechtel's Renewable Power business, described the significance of Ivanpah for Bechtel and the renewable power industry. California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, U.S. Secretary of the Interior Ken Salazar, and other state and local dignitaries also recognized the importance of Ivanpah in the evolution of renewable energy. 
ABOUT IVANPAH. Bechtel is partnering with BrightSource Energy on one of the most important projects yet in renewable energy.
The Ivanpah Solar Electric Generating System, in the Mojave Desert northwest of Needles, will be the first large-scale solar thermal project built in California in nearly two decades, and the largest of its kind in the world. It will generate enough electricity to power more than 140,000 homes and will nearly double the amount of commercial solar thermal electricity produced in the United States today.
Bechtel will provide engineering, procurement and construction services for Ivanpah. The company also is an equity investor in the project, underscoring its commitment to fighting climate change through renewable energy.
The complex will consist of three separate plants using use BrightSource Energy’s Luz Power Tower (LPT) technology. It will displace 400,000 tons (363,000 metric tons) of carbon dioxide emissions per year— the equivalent of taking 70,000 cars off the road— while also reducing water use 90 percent by using a closed-loop dry-cooling technology.
The three plants will have a combined capacity of around 400 megawatts of electricity, which BrightSource will provide to PG&E and Southern California Edison. Commencement of construction on the first plant was in October 2010, following permitting review by the California Energy Commission and the Department of Interior’s Bureau of Land Management. The first plant is scheduled to come online in mid-2012.
Bechtel (BEK tl) is the world's No. 1 choice for engineering, construction, and project management.
Our diverse portfolio encompasses energy, transportation, communications, mining, oil and gas, and government services. We currently have projects in dozens of locations worldwide, from Alaska to Australia. No matter how challenging a project or how remote its location, chances are Bechtel can handle it. That's because we bring an unmatched combination of knowledge, skill, experience, and customer commitment to every job.
We have had record revenues for the past five years, and Engineering News-Record (ENR) has named Bechtel the top U.S. construction contractor for 12 straight years.
While we work for governments and commercial customers, our projects have helped grow local economies and improve the quality of life for communities and people around the world. Time and again our work has demonstrated that the only limits on human achievement are those that we place on ourselves. 
Privately owned with headquarters in San Francisco, we have offices around the world and 49,000 employees. In 2009, we had revenues of $30.8 billion and booked new work valued at $20.3 billion.

Fisher Capital Equipment Management - Significant Progress on Dulles Metrorail

Avoid internet scams, get the latest news update from Fisher Capital Equipment Management. Construction of the Dulles Corridor Metrorail Extension project, which is being built near Washington, D.C., is moving forward above and below ground. Crews have made significant progress on the elevated guideway structure that will carry the Metrorail over I-495, the region's primary highway, as well as Tysons Corner, one of the area's most congested business and retail districts. At the same time, a 2400-foot tunnel is being built under the intersection of Route 123 and International Drive as the traffic continues through Tysons Corner, and as the businesses and residents are going about their daily routines.
The progress of the project was highlighted on W-USA 9, a Washington, D.C. area TV station. The report featured interviews with Bechtel construction managers. Watch the video.
Construction of the project began in March 2009, with the signing of a $900 million grant from the U.S. Department of Transportation. The project is being constructed by Dulles Transit Partners, a team of Bechtel and URS, and will include five new Metro stations and 11.5 miles of new track. The project is owned and managed by the Metropolitan Washington Airports Authority.
Fisher Capital Equipment Management - Significant Progress on Dulles Metrorail - Bechtel (BEK tl) is the world's No. 1 choice for engineering, construction, and project management.
Our diverse portfolio encompasses energy, transportation, communications, mining, oil and gas, and government services. We currently have projects in dozens of locations worldwide, from Alaska to Australia. No matter how challenging a project or how remote its location, chances are Bechtel can handle it. That's because we bring an unmatched combination of knowledge, skill, experience, and customer commitment to every job.
We have had record revenues for the past five years, and Engineering News-Record (ENR) has named Bechtel the top U.S. construction contractor for 12 straight years.
While we work for governments and commercial customers, our projects have helped grow local economies and improve the quality of life for communities and people around the world. Time and again our work has demonstrated that the only limits on human achievement are those that we place on ourselves. 
Privately owned with headquarters in San Francisco, we have offices around the world and 49,000 employees. In 2009, we had revenues of $30.8 billion and booked new work valued at $20.3 billion.

What We Do

• Airports and seaports
• Communications networks
• Defense and aerospace facilities
• Environmental cleanup projects
• Fossil and nuclear power plants
• Mines and smelters
• Oil and gas field development
• Pipelines
• Roads and rail systems
• Refineries and petrochemical facilities

Ethics 

Bechtel's culture is grounded in integrity and respect. This means adhering to the highest standards of ethics. Our reputation as an ethical company is one of our most valuable assets. We stand by everything we do.  

Quality

At Bechtel, quality means doing the job right the first time.  We've always delivered quality work, and we are continually striving to improve our performance through Six Sigma and other initiatives.

Safety 

Bechtel has a world-class safety program, and it pays off. Nearly 90 percent of our projects complete each year without a lost-time accident. Our philosophy is simple—every accident, and therefore every injury, is preventable. 

Fisher Capital Management South Korea, Brazil’s Economy: 1st Quarter

Fisher Capital Management Seoul Korea, Brazil’s Economy - The brief recession of 2009 has given way to a robust increase in consumer demand and recovery in investment in Brazil in 2010. The economy is likely to grow 5.5%

this year. GDP grew 2% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2009 and fell 0.2%

for the whole of 2009 compared with 2008.

Fisher Capital Management South Korea Investing: - The central bank did not raise its target overnight interest rate, the so-called Selic rate, unchanged leaving it at 8.75% a year. This was expected as the presidential

election is nearing. The rate fell from 13.75% to 8.75% between December 2008

and July 2009. By the year-end, the rate is expected to rise by 250 basis points to

curb inflation.

Even though the US and Brazil are not as open an economy as one would believe.

Trade accounts for approximately 14% for both the countries. US cotton subsidies had been a bone of contention for the two countries. The US was accused of excessive cotton subsidies by Brazil. After eight years of litigation at the World Trade Organization Brazil has won the case and Brazil’s move to raise tariffs on

a wide range of American goods has a potential of starting a new front in the trade

war with the US over cotton subsidies. Overall, the issue is still not blown out of

proportion as the two countries are engaged on other fronts.

Fisher Capital Management Korea, Brazil’s Economy: 1st Quarter Investment - Brazil’s government announced a R$958.9bn programme of investments in infrastructure for 2011 to 2014. The program is known as the PAC 2 … the

Portuguese acronym for accelerated growth programme, part two … to increase

Brazil’s investment rate and its potential for economic growth during the period

of the next government, which begins on January 1 2011.

Fisher Capital Management South Korea, Investment News: Henrique Meirelles who provided monetary stability to Brazil is all set to stand for election either as a Vice President or a senator. President Lula may choose him to

run for the Vice President office to send a message that macroeconomic stability

will be maintained under Ms Rousseff, presidential nominee of Mr. Lula’s party in the October election.

Fisher Capital is a leading global financial institution holding extensive relationships with financial institutions, institutional investors and corporations across the world.

As a full service company Fisher Capital provides a full range of investment banking services including advanced risk management, corporate strategy and structure, plus raising capital through debt and equity markets. With this as our backbone we continue to provide a client service second to none.

Let us keep you informed of all the latest news and developments with our free monthly newsletter of analysis and recommendations.

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Government Bond Markets Global Outlook Fisher Capital Management Seoul

Government Bond Markets Global Outlook Fisher Capital Management Seoul - Conditions in the government bond markets have remained very difficult over the past month, and there have been further falls in some of the minor markets, especially in the euro-zone, because of continuing fears about sovereign debt defaults. The agreement reached by the member countries of the euro-zone to combine with the

IMF to provide any necessary support to enable Greece to refinance its maturing debts and avoid a default has had a poor response in the markets; but at least Greece has been able to make further bond issues; and the gilt edged market has coped fairly well so far with a disappointing Budget statement that has left any real attempt to resolve the serious UK debt problems until after the general election. But the sudden weakness in the world bond markets after a series of disappointing auctions has once again increased the tensions.

Our position remains unchanged; any existing exposure to bonds should be further reduced in favor of US & Euro equities.

Fisher Capital Management Seoul, South Korea - The global economic recovery is developing slowly, and so short-term interest rates

are likely to remain at low levels for a considerable period. It is also possible that

the “fudged” agreement amongst member countries of the euro-zone will provide

an opportunity for the introduction of the necessary austerity measures; and that

a new government will finally begin to address the debt problems in the UK. But

the risks in the situation are still increasing, sovereign debt defaults may still occur,

and the single currency system in the euro-zone may not be sustainable in its present

form. Higher bond yields therefore appear unavoidable; prospects for all the bond

markets are unattractive.

Developments in the bond market over the past month have clearly illustrated the

need for caution. The US economy continues to recover. The Fed has left shortterm

interest rates unchanged, and has indicated that they will remain “at exceptionally

low levels for an extended period”. This tended to enhance the “safe haven” status

of the US equity market for most of the past month, as conditions continued to

deteriorate in other bond markets.

Fisher Capital Management Seoul, South Korea - Most of the available evidence supports the view that the economic recovery is

continuing, but only at a slow pace. The unemployment rate remains close to 10%,

and the housing sector is still depressed, with both new housing starts and sales of

existing homes weakened still further by adverse weather conditions. However

retail sales are holding up fairly well, and manufacturers are beginning to increase

capital expenditures and inventories, and so there is a general expectation that

growth in the first quarter will be around a 2% annualized rate.

Fisher Capital Management Seoul, South Korea - The Fed has confirmed that its buying programmed for mortgage-backed securities

has ended, and that it may be moving slowly towards re-selling some of these

securities; but it seems to be in no hurry, and so both the economic background,

and the position of the central bank, remain broadly supportive.

The situation facing investors in the mainland European bond markets is more

serious. The economic background is improving, with the weaker euro providing

considerable support in export markets, and so the area continues to move out of

recession. But progress is slow, and so the European Central Bank is maintaining

very low short-term interest rates, and providing support. However the massive

fiscal deficits are threatening to overwhelm the bond markets and to lead to sovereign

debt defaults, and so investors have continued to switch from the bonds of the

weaker countries into those of the stronger countries, and have widened the yield

spreads across the markets. The latest Greek bond auctions have received only a

very moderate response, and there is considerable uncertainty whether even the

markets of the stronger countries are adequately discounting the risks in the situation.

Fisher Capital Management Seoul, South Korea - The available evidence on the performance of the euro-zone economy is mixed,

but slightly more encouraging. The weakness in domestic demand is continuing,

and retail sales volumes are disappointing in most member countries; but the

manufacturing sector, especially in Germany, is much more buoyant, with exports

providing most of the momentum. The latest Ifo index of business sentiment in

Germany is sharply higher, and other countries are also sharing in the improvement.

Analysts are therefore forecasting growth around the 0.5% level in the first quarter

of the year.